The Wrinkle In Forecasting Autonomous Cars

Onstage at TED last week, Elon Musk made the very bold proclamation that in about two years, Tesla owners will be able to go to sleep at the start of a drive and wake up at their destination.

While I applaud his showmanship and acute engineering recruiting tactics, I think he is dead wrong—and am willing to very publicly take the “over” on his bet by many, many years.