Oracle, Warner Bros. Discovery and the Ellisons

The Ellison family will have plenty to talk about when they convene for Thanksgiving this week (assuming they do!). The price of Oracle has plummeted in the past six weeks, for one thing, reflecting AI bubble jitters centering on Oracle. In the same period of time, Larry Ellison and his son David have been—by all accounts—busy plotting the roughly $90 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. Their interest—conveyed through the company they now control, Paramount Skydance—sparked a bidding war that is now coming to a head. Bids were reportedly due last Thursday, with both Netflix and Comcast said to be in the mix, which means we could see some developments this week.

Could the Ellisons’ eagerness to buy WBD be affected by the diminishing value of Larry Ellison’s 41% stake in Oracle? It’s not crazy to imagine that at the very least, the Ellisons may be less willing to overpay than they might have been. A recent securities filing showed that as of mid-September, Ellison had pledged about 30% of his Oracle stake—or 346 million shares, worth about $69 billion currently—as collateral for personal loans taken out “to fund outside personal business ventures.” That’s up from the 277 million shares he had pledged a year earlier. As Ellison backed his son‘s purchase of Paramount this past summer, he may well have done so by borrowing against his Oracle shares. Even if he didn’t, the loans suggest Ellison would be sensitive to swings in Oracle’s stock price. And it certainly has been volatile.