The Information

Art by Clark Miller

What We Got Right (and Wrong) in Our Predictions for 2025

By The Information Staff · Jan 2, 2026 10:34am PST · 3 comments

What’s that smell? It’s the whiff of humble pie being eaten by The Information’s prognosticators. A year ago, we made a series of predictions about tech deals that would get done, executives who would leave their companies and other events that we thought might happen in 2025. Many of those predictions did not come to pass. In our defense, when... What’s that smell? It’s the whiff of humble pie being eaten by The Information’s prognosticators....

Art by Clark Miller; Getty Images, Blue Origin.

Sutskever’s Fate, OpenAI’s Next Deal, A Hit Robot—and 13 Other Predictions for 2026

By The Information Staff · Jan 2, 2026 9:00am PST · 13 comments

No one in Silicon Valley gets wealthy or powerful by dwelling on the past. Rather, the brightest minds within tech often outshine the competition by obsessing about the future. We like to get in on the game too. In keeping with annual tradition, we’re publishing below our best educated guesses on what’ll happen in 2026: what Microsoft buys, what... No one in Silicon Valley gets wealthy or powerful by dwelling on the past. Rather, the brightest...

Art by Clark Miller (photo: Getty Images)

2026 Predictions: Microsoft Will Buy an AI Coding Startup

By Aaron Holmes · Jan 2, 2026 6:00am PST · 1 comment

Two years ago, Microsoft dominated the market for AI coding tools, which automatically generate code for developers. That’s because it got early access to OpenAI’s models through its partnership with the startup, and at the time, Microsoft led the pack in code generation. As a result, Microsoft moved quickly to launch GitHub Copilot as the... Two years ago, Microsoft dominated the market for AI coding tools, which automatically generate...

Art by Clark Miller

2026 Predictions: Tesla Will Acquire xAI

By Theo Wayt · Jan 1, 2026 6:00am PST · 4 comments

Art by Clark Miller

2026 Predictions: Tesla Will Acquire xAI

By Theo Wayt · Jan 1, 2026 6:00am PST · 4 comments

As almost everyone in Silicon Valley has found out lately, creating AI is a money drain, and many of the biggest startups eager to do so aren’t profitable. That’s true even for the AI business run by the world’s richest man, and that’s why I expect Elon Musk will take a drastic step next year to keep the money flowing to xAI: by selling to the... As almost everyone in Silicon Valley has found out lately, creating AI is a money drain, and many...

Art by Clark Miller (photo: Getty Images)

2026 Predictions: Cash-Strapped Oracle Issues Chip-Backed Debt

By Miles Kruppa · Dec 31, 2025 11:24am PST · 4 comments

Oracle has a real problem: It’s committed to building huge chip-filled data centers for OpenAI, but it doesn’t have the cash to do so. So far, the company has been able to defray the upfront costs of constructing the data center’s physical buildings, but it will soon need to fill those structures with Nvidia chips to power... Oracle has a real problem: It’s committed to building huge chip-filled data...

Art by Clark Miller

2026 Predictions: Apple Will Reverse Its AI Slump

By Aaron Tilley · Dec 30, 2025 6:00am PST · 5 comments

As AI has completely consumed the tech industry, Apple has held back from the colossal investments in the technology its peers have been making. Wall Street, pundits and media outlets have criticized and chronicled Apple’s stumbles and seeming lack of urgency in the AI arms race. That includes us. But I would like to propose another... As AI has completely consumed the tech industry, Apple has held back from the colossal...

Art by Clark Miller

OpenAI’s Next Departure, Amazon’s New Product—and 16 Other Things We Think Will Happen in 2025

By The Information Staff · Jan 3, 2025 9:03am PST · 4 comments

** Mystical chanting ** Through wires and streams, the future flies, where vision soars and dreams arise, As twenty-twenty-five arrives, show us what will spark and change our lives! ** Chanting continues ** Holy moly! We’re clearly in for another wild year ahead, or so the careful study of our beats—and the omens around them—would... ** Mystical chanting ** Through wires and streams, the future flies, where vision soars and...

Art by Clark Miller

Predictions 2025: Amazon Will Buy Lyft

By Anita Ramaswamy · Jan 2, 2025 8:14am PST · 2 comments

Art by Clark Miller

Predictions 2025: Amazon Will Buy Lyft

By Anita Ramaswamy · Jan 2, 2025 8:14am PST · 2 comments

Robotaxis are quickly gaining ground, largely thanks to Alphabet-backed Waymo, which announced in October that it was completing more than 100,000 paid rides for passengers per week. Waymo plans to enter new regions next year. And everything in the market is sure to intensify further as Tesla tries to begin mass-producing its own robotaxis in... Robotaxis are quickly gaining ground, largely thanks to Alphabet-backed Waymo, which announced in...

Art by Clark Miller

Predictions 2025: Elon Musk Will Try to Buy TikTok

By Kaya Yurieff · Jan 1, 2025 6:00am PST · 14 comments

At the moment, TikTok is fighting for survival. The Chinese-owned app has been locked in a monthslong legal battle over a law that will ban it in the U.S. on Jan. 19 if it hasn’t cut ties with its parent company, ByteDance. The entire drama is headed for a final showdown next week, with the company planning to argue for its existence in front of... At the moment, TikTok is fighting for survival. The Chinese-owned app has been locked in a...

Art by Clark Miller (photos via Getty Images)

What We Got Right (and Wrong) in Our Predictions for 2024

By The Information Staff · Dec 31, 2024 11:06am PST · 3 comments

When we looked into the future a year ago, we saw a period ahead full of exciting new AI gadgets, dealmaking at Netflix and trouble in a burgeoning corner of the retail world. But even the best clairvoyants don’t always get it right, and our crystal ball clearly was picking up some static interference when we gazed through it last year. Still,... When we looked into the future a year ago, we saw a period ahead full of exciting new AI gadgets,...

Photos via Getty, AP, Humane and Shutterstock. Art by Shane Burke.

The Information’s 2024 Predictions

By The Information Staff · Dec 29, 2023 6:00am PST · 6 comments

Few people outside the artificial intelligence sector of tech likely anticipated how the emergence of ChatGPT late in 2022 would overwhelm developments in tech in 2023. Meanwhile, what didn’t happen this year was mainly related to the economy and the markets—few deals or initial public offerings got done, while an array of struggling... Few people outside the artificial intelligence sector of tech likely anticipated how the...

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What We Got Right (and Wrong) in Our Predictions for 2023

By The Information Staff · Dec 29, 2023 5:30am PST · 3 comments

Photos by Getty

What We Got Right (and Wrong) in Our Predictions for 2023

By The Information Staff · Dec 29, 2023 5:30am PST · 3 comments

The year is winding to a close, which means it’s time for us to grade our predictions for 2023. This time last year, our journalists checked in with sources to figure out what they thought would happen in the year ahead. Some of the predictions that resulted from that reporting turned out to be accurate. Some weren’t. We were spot on with... The year is winding to a close, which means it’s time for us to grade our predictions for 2023....

Art by Shane Burke.

The Information’s 2023 Predictions

By The Information Staff · Dec 27, 2022 6:30am PST · 8 comments

It’s safe to say that the two biggest tech stories of 2022—the twists and turns of Elon Musk’s Twitter takeover and the collapse of FTX—were not on anyone’s minds this time last year. That raises the question of what 2023 will bring. We have some predictions to make. As we note below, the stage is set for big... It’s safe to say that the two biggest tech stories of 2022—the twists and turns of...

Art by Shane Burke.

What We Got Right (And Wrong) in Our Predictions for 2022

By The Information Staff · Dec 27, 2022 6:00am PST · 8 comments

We’re near a wrap on 2022, which means it’s time to grade The Information’s predictions on technology and media. Each year our journalists check in with their sources and then tee up their forecasts for the most important mergers and acquisitions, stock offerings and CEO exits they expect to transpire. We got some predictions... We’re near a wrap on 2022, which means it’s time to grade The Information’s...